Saturday, November 2, 2013

USD Recovery Temporary, Don't Buy USD/CAD, Buy Gold - BofA Merrill

The USD continues to squeeze higher but USD Index gains must be seen as corrective, temporary, and ultimately limited to 80.75/80.80, before the larger bear trend resumes for 78.72, says Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

"For those looking to buy USD, DON’T BUY USD/CAD. The pair remains in a large, multi-month contracting range between 1.0503 and1.0255. It is now in the process of turning down toward its range lows. A close below1.0421 confirms a near-term top and turn lower in range," BofA advises.



Meanwhile, BofA remains bullish on Gold.

"The impulsive gains from the 1251 low of Oct-15 and break of the 2m downtrend (confirmed on the break of 1330) say the medium-term trend has turned bullish. We look for an ultimate break of the 1433 highs of Aug-28, with POTENTIAL for a push to 1500/1533 long-term resistance," BofA clarifies.

"We wish to buy this dip at 1310. THIS VIEW IS WRONG ON A BREAK BELOW 1251," BofA adds

In line with this view, BofA runs an active limit order to buy spot Gold at 1310, risking 1250, targeting 1450.

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